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Voting Influence Corruption · 2024 Federal Cycle

The Price of a Vote

$11.26B was spent on the 2024 US federal elections. Spread across the 265,926,503 adults it was aimed at, that is $42.35 each — but it was never aimed evenly, and almost nobody is worth the average.

Find your state

Every state as an equal square, shaded by estimated all-in spending per adult. Equal squares rather than true geography: at real area Montana and Wyoming would be near-invisible and DC would not render at all — and those are the story.

Montana: $359.63 per adult MT $360 Nevada: $188.97 per adult NV $189 Arizona: $153.13 per adult AZ $153 Wisconsin: $152.11 per adult WI $152 Michigan: $135.50 per adult MI $136 Pennsylvania: $134.44 per adult PA $134 North Carolina: $99.37 per adult NC $99 Georgia: $94.29 per adult GA $94 Alaska: $89.73 per adult AK $90 Nebraska: $66.24 per adult NE $66 Ohio: $62.16 per adult OH $62 Maryland: $56.56 per adult MD $57 Maine: $42.96 per adult ME $43 New Mexico: $41.65 per adult NM $42 North Dakota: $40.31 per adult ND $40 Wyoming: $34.76 per adult WY $35 Iowa: $29.65 per adult IA $30 Utah: $26.25 per adult UT $26 New York: $25.88 per adult NY $26 Delaware: $25.32 per adult DE $25 Virginia: $24.14 per adult VA $24 California: $23.04 per adult CA $23 New Hampshire: $23.03 per adult NH $23 Vermont: $22.70 per adult VT $23 Colorado: $22.47 per adult CO $22 Oregon: $22.11 per adult OR $22 West Virginia: $21.94 per adult WV $22 Rhode Island: $21.22 per adult RI $21 Louisiana: $20.80 per adult LA $21 Missouri: $19.70 per adult MO $20 Minnesota: $18.86 per adult MN $19 New Jersey: $18.10 per adult NJ $18 Texas: $18.07 per adult TX $18 Washington: $17.02 per adult WA $17 South Dakota: $16.75 per adult SD $17 Indiana: $16.20 per adult IN $16 South Carolina: $15.04 per adult SC $15 Tennessee: $13.21 per adult TN $13 Connecticut: $12.99 per adult CT $13 Florida: $12.55 per adult FL $13 Kansas: $11.75 per adult KS $12 Oklahoma: $11.56 per adult OK $12 Alabama: $11.46 per adult AL $11 Kentucky: $11.42 per adult KY $11 Arkansas: $9.39 per adult AR $9 Illinois: $9.10 per adult IL $9 Mississippi: $9.01 per adult MS $9 Massachusetts: $8.59 per adult MA $9 Hawaii: $7.21 per adult HI $7 Idaho: $5.18 per adult ID $5 District of Columbia: $2.86 per adult DC $3
<$15$15$30$60$120$360

Your vote, depending on where you live

$134.44
Pennsylvania — estimated all-in per adult
$46.67 measured + $87.77 presidential
$34.76
Wyoming — estimated all-in per adult
$32.56 measured + $2.20 presidential
$25.88
New York — estimated all-in per adult
$23.68 measured + $2.20 presidential
5.2×
a Pennsylvanian was worth this many New Yorkers
On measured money alone: 2.0×

Adding the presidential race is what separates these three. On congressional money alone Pennsylvania was worth 2.0× a New Yorker. Once the presidential campaign is counted the gap widens to 5.2×, because Pennsylvania was the most contested state in the country and New York was not contested at all.

Wyoming is the instructive case. It has the smallest adult population in the country (457,274), so even an uncompetitive Senate race divides out to $32.56 a head. No presidential money chased it, so its all-in figure barely moves. Being cheap to reach and being fought over are different things.

How the presidential money is handled

$4.77B was spent on the 2024 presidential race. The FEC files presidential candidates with office state US, so this money cannot be attributed to states from the public data — no field records where it was spent. Rather than drop it or pretend to know, the table carries two explicit treatments.

ColumnTreatmentPer adultStatus
CongressHouse and Senate receipts plus independent expenditure, attributed to the state of the race$24.41 avgMeasured
+ Pres. flatPresidential money split evenly across every adult in the country+$17.94 everywhereKnown-false assumption, shown as a floor
Est. all-in90% of presidential money assumed to land on seven battlegrounds (PA, MI, WI, GA, AZ, NV, NC), 10% on the other 44+$87.77 / +$2.20Scenario, not measurement
The all-in column is a model — treat it accordingly

Two inputs are assumptions, not data: which states count as battlegrounds, and the 90/10 split. Both are stated so they can be disagreed with. The seven battlegrounds hold 18.4% of American adults, so the split does a great deal of work: a battleground adult receives $87.77 of presidential money and everyone else $2.20 — a 40× difference produced entirely by the assumption.

Believe the concentration was lower and every battleground figure falls while every other figure rises. The Congress column does not move either way, and is the only column that is a measurement.

The twelve most expensive electorates

Montana$359.63
Nevada ■$188.97
Arizona ■$153.13
Wisconsin ■$152.11
Michigan ■$135.50
Pennsylvania ■$134.44
North Carolina ■$99.37
Georgia ■$94.29
Alaska$89.73
Nebraska$66.24
Ohio$62.16
Maryland$56.56
Montana — $322.1M for 901,240 adults

Montana tops the table on measured money alone, no modelling required. Its Senate race cost $357.43 per adult, 14.6× the national congressional average, of which $147.60 per adult went on attacking a candidate rather than supporting one. A household of four had roughly $1,430 spent trying to move its votes — before any presidential money.

Every state, ranked

Measured — from FEC filings Modelled — presidential allocation assumption ■ assumed battleground
51 states
#StateAdults 18+ Congress $ total Congress /adult + Pres. flat Est. all-in Senate race
1 Montana MT 901,240 $322.1M $357.43 $375.37 $359.63 Yes
2 Nevada NV ■ 2,567,337 $259.8M $101.20 $119.14 $188.97 Yes
3 Arizona AZ ■ 5,976,929 $390.6M $65.36 $83.30 $153.13 Yes
4 Wisconsin WI ■ 4,718,810 $303.6M $64.34 $82.28 $152.11 Yes
5 Michigan MI ■ 8,029,234 $383.3M $47.73 $65.67 $135.50 Yes
6 Pennsylvania PA ■ 10,446,122 $487.5M $46.67 $64.61 $134.44 Yes
7 North Carolina NC ■ 8,589,673 $99.6M $11.60 $29.54 $99.37 —
8 Georgia GA ■ 8,584,994 $56.0M $6.52 $24.46 $94.29 —
9 Alaska AK 543,597 $47.6M $87.53 $105.47 $89.73 —
10 Nebraska NE 1,514,862 $97.0M $64.04 $81.98 $66.24 Yes
11 Ohio OH 9,302,506 $557.8M $59.96 $77.90 $62.16 Yes
12 Maryland MD 4,862,370 $264.3M $54.36 $72.30 $56.56 Yes
13 Maine ME 1,157,090 $47.2M $40.76 $58.70 $42.96 Yes
14 New Mexico NM 1,669,012 $65.8M $39.45 $57.39 $41.65 Yes
15 North Dakota ND 604,202 $23.0M $38.11 $56.05 $40.31 Yes
16 Wyoming WY 457,274 $14.9M $32.56 $50.50 $34.76 Yes
17 Iowa IA 2,510,682 $68.9M $27.45 $45.39 $29.65 —
18 Utah UT 2,565,560 $61.7M $24.05 $41.99 $26.25 Yes
19 New York NY 15,865,665 $375.7M $23.68 $41.62 $25.88 Yes
20 Delaware DE 834,822 $19.3M $23.12 $41.06 $25.32 Yes
21 Virginia VA 6,827,407 $149.8M $21.94 $39.88 $24.14 Yes
22 California CA 30,879,264 $643.6M $20.84 $38.78 $23.04 Yes
23 New Hampshire NH 1,159,146 $24.1M $20.83 $38.77 $23.03 —
24 Vermont VT 535,384 $11.0M $20.50 $38.44 $22.70 Yes
25 Colorado CO 4,709,808 $95.5M $20.27 $38.21 $22.47 —
26 Oregon OR 3,444,707 $68.6M $19.91 $37.85 $22.11 —
27 West Virginia WV 1,421,431 $28.1M $19.74 $37.68 $21.94 Yes
28 Rhode Island RI 903,692 $17.2M $19.02 $36.96 $21.22 Yes
29 Louisiana LA 3,516,753 $65.4M $18.60 $36.54 $20.80 —
30 Missouri MO 4,858,050 $85.0M $17.50 $35.44 $19.70 Yes
31 Minnesota MN 4,493,489 $74.9M $16.66 $34.60 $18.86 Yes
32 New Jersey NJ 7,448,380 $118.4M $15.90 $33.84 $18.10 Yes
33 Texas TX 23,514,112 $373.1M $15.87 $33.81 $18.07 Yes
34 Washington WA 6,255,004 $92.7M $14.82 $32.76 $17.02 Yes
35 South Dakota SD 700,776 $10.2M $14.55 $32.49 $16.75 —
36 Indiana IN 5,337,165 $74.7M $14.00 $31.94 $16.20 Yes
37 South Carolina SC 4,289,808 $55.1M $12.84 $30.78 $15.04 —
38 Tennessee TN 5,625,000 $61.9M $11.01 $28.95 $13.21 Yes
39 Connecticut CT 2,942,274 $31.7M $10.79 $28.73 $12.99 Yes
40 Florida FL 18,811,172 $194.6M $10.35 $28.29 $12.55 Yes
41 Kansas KS 2,257,696 $21.6M $9.55 $27.49 $11.75 —
42 Oklahoma OK 3,110,306 $29.1M $9.36 $27.30 $11.56 —
43 Alabama AL 4,011,179 $37.1M $9.26 $27.20 $11.46 —
44 Kentucky KY 3,546,563 $32.7M $9.22 $27.16 $11.42 —
45 Arkansas AR 2,382,792 $17.1M $7.19 $25.13 $9.39 —
46 Illinois IL 9,996,508 $69.0M $6.90 $24.84 $9.10 —
47 Mississippi MS 2,257,754 $15.4M $6.81 $24.75 $9.01 Yes
48 Massachusetts MA 5,777,028 $36.9M $6.39 $24.33 $8.59 Yes
49 Hawaii HI 1,112,839 $5.6M $5.01 $22.95 $7.21 Yes
50 Idaho ID 1,529,750 $4.6M $2.98 $20.92 $5.18 —
51 District of Columbia DC 569,285 $373,364 $0.66 $18.60 $2.86 —

What drives the number

The state and local layer

Everything above is federal money. State-level campaign finance is regulated by 50 separate agencies, and there is no national bulk source. Where a state publishes its own data through an open portal, it can be measured — and the result changes how this whole page should be read.

StateCycle State money Federal (Congress) State as % of federal State /adult Combined /adult
Washington WA 2024 $232.8M $92.7M 251% $37.23 $52.05
New York NY 2024 $197.9M $375.7M 53% $12.47 $36.15
Hawaii HI 2022-2024 $6.5M $5.6M 116% $5.80 $10.81
Washington: the federal figure captured less than a third

Washington State raised $232.8M in state-level campaign contributions in 2024 — 251% of what was spent on its federal congressional races. Per adult, Washington goes from $14.82 federal to $52.05 combined — 3.5× higher.

This is a genuine limitation of every other row in the table above, not a footnote. In states with expensive state politics the federal-only figure is a floor, and a low one. Nothing here lets us say by how much for the other 47 states.

Why only three states

These are not the three states that matter most. They are the three whose campaign-finance data could be obtained without an API key, a licence, or scraping. A systematic search of every Socrata open-data portal in the United States returned state-level campaign-finance datasets for Washington, New York and Hawaii — and no others.

The remaining 47 states do publish data, but through 47 bespoke systems: custom search portals, session-locked queries, PDF filings, and downloads that cannot be automated. California publishes a complete 1.5 GB CAL-ACCESS database export, which is obtainable but requires amendment-aware processing to avoid double-counting revised filings. That work is scoped, not done.

The coverage gap is itself a finding

A report about the transparency of political money runs into this: 3 of 50 states make their campaign finance machine-readable through a public open-data portal. The data is technically "public" everywhere — disclosed, lawful, available on request — while remaining practically unusable at national scale. Public and accessible are not the same property, and the difference is where most state-level money sits.

Local government

City-level money is obtainable for a handful of large cities and is not trivial. New York City's municipal elections drew $154.4M in the 2025 cycle and $119.5M in 2021 — the 2025 city figure alone is 78% of what was contributed across all New York State races in 2024. Los Angeles, Oakland, Austin and Dallas also publish transaction-level data. These are reported here as evidence that local money is material, not as a national total: no such total exists.

What this number is not

Four honest caveats

1. "Adults" is not "eligible voters." The denominator is Census civilian population aged 18+, which includes non-citizens and, in some states, people disenfranchised by a felony conviction. True eligible-voter counts would raise every figure somewhat and unevenly. The Census citizen-voting-age series requires an API key, which this report does not use.

2. The all-in column is modelled, not measured. Cite the Congress column if you need a defensible number.

3. The main table is federal only. It contains no governors, state legislatures, judicial races, ballot measures, county commissioners or dog catchers. The state and local layer above measures three states where open data exists, and shows the size of what is missing: in Washington, state money was 251% of federal. Treat every per-adult figure in the main table as a floor. No national estimate is offered for the other 47 states, because none can be sourced. Commonly cited all-election totals for 2024 run around $16B against the $11.26B of federal money counted here.

4. Spending is not persuasion. This measures money aimed at an electorate, not influence achieved. The report's central test found money a weak predictor of how legislators subsequently vote.

Why express it this way at all

Per-adult cost is deliberately a cynical framing and should be read as one. It does not show that votes are bought. It shows how unevenly the political system aims its resources: two citizens with identical constitutional standing had 542× different amounts spent trying to reach them on measured congressional money alone, decided almost entirely by an accident of residence and the expected closeness of a contest.

That is the OCDI-Gov intuition in its plainest form: authorisation is distributed equally by law, and the resources that contest it are not.